Will I make IMO any year
36
120Ṁ38042026
1.6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
UPDATE 3/25/2024: changed from "will I make IMO 2026" to "will I make IMO any year"
Context:
Red MOP 2023 (34 points on JMO)
TST group for IMO 2024
IMO 2026 is the last IMO I am elegible for
TST scores:
Day 1 & 2: 706 171
Day 3: (sick)
Day 4: 77000
USAMO: 704 702
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will I make IMO ever
54% chance
What will I get at IMO 2025?
Will I make IMO sometime?
58% chance
Will I ever make IMO?
53% chance
Will I get top 10 at IMO?
22% chance
What will I get at IMO 2025?
Will I make IBO sometime?
25% chance
Will I make MOP in 2026?
48% chance
What will I get on IMO?
Will I make IPHO 2026
45% chance
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will I make IMO ever
54% chance
What will I get at IMO 2025?
Will I make IMO sometime?
58% chance
Will I ever make IMO?
53% chance
Will I get top 10 at IMO?
22% chance
What will I get at IMO 2025?
Will I make IBO sometime?
25% chance
Will I make MOP in 2026?
48% chance
What will I get on IMO?
Will I make IPHO 2026
45% chance