Is Taylor Swift's voter registration campaign enough to swing the election?
13
1kṀ12k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Taylor Swift has endorsed Kamala Harris, including a link to register to vote. At least 337,000 people have visited it. Is that enough to (at least theoretically) swing the election? That is, will the margin of victory be less than the number of people who followed the link?

Details:

We'll use the best available estimate for the number of people who followed the link. Baseline is 337,000; if there's an updated number from a reputable source, we'll track that instead.

The election is about electoral votes, not the popular vote. How to convert those is a complicated question without a clear answer. So we'll pick an easy answer: if the number of people who followed that link, as a fraction of total votes cast, is greater than or equal to the margin in the tipping point state, this question resolves Yes. Otherwise it resolves No.

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