Background:

Google has announced that they'll be making it harder for users to sideload apps by making the process long.

The current process is just clicking "install the app", the new process is this:

1. Find Developer Options in the settings

2. Tap the build number seven times to enable Developer Mode

3. Dismiss scare screens about coercion

4. Enter your PIN

5. Restart the device

6. Wait 24 hours

7. Come back, dismiss more scare screens

8. Pick "allow temporarily" (7 days) or "allow indefinitely"

9. Confirm, again, that you understand "the risks"

Read more about this here: https://keepandroidopen.org

This market will resolve to "yes" if the general consensus is that Google has made sideloading harder. Otherwise, it will resolve to "no".

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Google implements a new, documented sideloading process on Android that requires a multi-step verification, waiting period, or manual developer-mode intervention (as described in the background) for standard users. It resolves to NO if Google maintains the current, simplified sideloading workflow or if the proposed restrictions are canceled/withdrawn prior to wide-scale deployment.

Resolution will be determined by consensus among major tech news outlets (e.g., The Verge, Ars Technica, Android Authority) confirming that the described "harder" sideloading process has been pushed to stable Android releases