Excel Esports [LOL stock]
Excel Esports [LOL stock]
2
70Ṁ25
2030
31%
chance

How does this market work?

Similar to stocks, profit by buying low and selling high. As more people buy in the same direction you have, you can sell out of your position for a profit.

Essentially buy YES shares if you think a team is improving and you want to invest in them, and buy NO for the opposite.

Resolution criteria

The main mechanism for profit from these markets should be trading, not waiting for a resolution. However, we have found this can sometimes be ineffective, therefore this market can resolve to Yes or No if it meets any of the following conditions:

  • YES - If team wins 2 consecutive splits in their region.

  • YES - If team wins worlds or MSI.

  • NO - If team disbands/stops competing in a tier 1 league.

If a market resolves, then holders of the winning share type will receive a big cash out. The YES conditions are designed to try and keep the market probability somewhat balanced between teams of all regions.

Other

  • If a team is acquired/merge/rename (eg. how Rogue became KOI) then the market will continue to exist and the title will be edited.

  • If a team's market does resolve YES, it will be recreated at 80%.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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