Magill Tard Fight: What proportion of new gc members will actually participate (say something even once)?
➕
Plus
7
11k
resolved Jun 12
Resolved
N/A
26% - 50%
Resolved
N/A
10% - 25%
Resolved
N/A
Less than 10%
Resolved
N/A
51% - 75%
Resolved
N/A
76% - 90%
Resolved
N/A
More than 90%

Update: STOP THE COUNT

I’m no longer in a position to accurately resolve this market. Don’t throw your mana at this. I’m figuring out how to return it to you.

(What was the actual proportion? Guestimate: 10%–25%)

———————

You maniacs. You blew it up. God damn you all to hell.

The state of things: The group chat is beyond cooked. New people keep chain migrating in, we have an absentee admin, and we can’t prune back the list with soft blocks anymore. All we can do is keep adding new members to hasten its demise.

Magill Tard Fight: How many of these new chat members will even participate?

• New members means everyone since Wiki, inclusive. See below.

• Participation means saying something at least once. Reacts don’t count but this does.

• Chat members have insider knowledge, but outsiders are welcome to yolo into this.

• Closes in a week.

(This is baby’s first market, so I might have set up the options wrong. If I screw this up in a way where I can’t get the mana to the right people, I’ll give it back or whatever’s customary. I’m not participating in the bet and have no stake in the outcome.)

————

New members: who counts?

This only goes for Twitter accounts run by actual individuals, which excludes most of Constantine’s shit adds. No corpo accounts, no Boeing, no Mossad, no DARPA, etc.

List, ongoing:

Erik Torenberg

DJPN

Shkreli

Nick Fuentes

Roger Stone

Wiki

SMA

Percival Perrins

Kyle Rittenhouse

Milo Yiannopoulos

Aella

Moby

MI5

Clocks

Varunram Ganesh

Val

Normie Macdonald

Pico Paco

Parm

Bubble Boy

Pariah the Doll

15th Century Byzantine Idealogue Gemistos Plethon

Mr. Shroom

Beff Jezos

Empathdoll

Vitalist Dox

Pucas_larper

Nayib Bukele

CIJ ICJ

Sayyid Ali Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader

Brian Ahuja

William Samoei Ruto, President of The Republic of Kenya

lydianmodal

0xygen

Cerys

adogadogadog

Moritz

Tulsi Gabbard

Alexandra Botez

Yасіпе

Jake Shields

nullpointered

nedsore

Profoundlyyyy

jeyeojoey

Claudius3600

DaviaLeeFiddler

Marc Andreessen

Zero HP

The head of the Taliban police force in Kabul

Razib Khan

Zestular

Dmitry Polyanski

Keyboard Warrior of Z🇰🇷G

powerbottomson1

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

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bought Ṁ200 26% - 50% NO

@Esplin I know it closes tomorrow, but when do you think this market will be resolved? Seems very annoying to count all the messages in a week of logs, but I locked up almost 10k mana in this market so I'm hoping it'll be quick...

You’re going to be so disappointed to learn I’m no longer in a position to tell.

You can ask a mod to resolve N/A if it's impossible for you to resolve the market

Is there a way for me to cover the opportunity cost of people locking up mana in my dud market? Do I gift you mana now?

I mean I will take free money, but this kind of thing happens

@mods - market creator wants to resolve N/A here as he can no longer tell how the market will resolve

Wait, why can't the user resolve it n/a themself? I am confused?

Didn't that get disabled as part of the pivot?

Oh I dunno. I'm a mod so I can't see what priveleges you have, but I thought that was only prize markets

I am unable to resolve any of my own markets N/A

bought Ṁ50 More than 90% NO

What is this. Can I be added

bought Ṁ100 Less than 10% NO

@SaviorofPlant Upon learning slightly more I no longer wish to be added

@SaviorofPlant Wise. The insider knowledge isn’t worth it.

@Glitzkrieg You made the wrong kind of market, by the way. Should have picked "One answer wil be chosen" instead of "Any number of answers will be chosen"

@SaviorofPlant QQ

Even now I can’t tell whether that means I can tap multiple answers as correct when I resolve the market or individuals can choose multiple answers