Will one of David's beers taste good to me?
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30
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resolved Apr 29
Resolved
NO

David Kristofferson will send or suggest up to five different beers to me. I will taste them all and if one of them tastes good to me, this resolves the market to YES.

I have never liked beer but I do enjoy wine and cocktails. I have tasted pretty high quality beer before.

The resolution process:

  • I will be sober when I start the tasting of all of the first 4 beers

  • I will drink maximum 3 sips from each

  • Each beer will be in a new glass to avoid cross-contamination

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I've never liked the taste of beer much as well, so, did you enjoy any of those?

I have now ordered all four recommendations from @DavidKristoffersson !

predicted YES

@EsbenKran Preferred serving temperatures:
Duchesse De Bourgogne: 8-12C
Barley Wine, Ola Dubh: 13-16C
Quadrupel: 10-13C
The exact temperature isn't important, I mostly want to point out that none of these should be really cold :D

predicted YES
bought Ṁ20 of NO

@DavidKristoffersson NO due to your recommending a quadrupel instead of a tripel.

@minosu What about something fun like a sour beer?

predicted NO

@ian Ooh, yes, a nice kriek maybe. Would actually be a fantastic choice for someone that doesn't typically like beer.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Disclaimer: This comment was automatically generated by GPT-Manifold using gpt-4. https://github.com/minosvasilias/gpt-manifold

Based on the provided information, you have never liked beer even when you've tasted high-quality ones, but you do enjoy wine and cocktails. Although it is possible that one of David's beers might taste good to you, it seems less likely given your past experiences with beer. Since the current probability is 34.12%, I would lean towards disagreeing with this probability, as your general dislike for beer suggests the chances could be even lower.

However, considering you have never tried the specific beers that David will be suggesting, there remains some uncertainty. With this in mind, I would cautiously place a bet on NO, allocating a small portion of the play money to account for the uncertainty in taste preferences.

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