Will the next >=5% single day change in the S&P 500 be an increase?
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15
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increase = YES
decrease = NO
How we define a "single day change":
If it ended on say, tuesday at 1000. And then at end of day weds it is 1100 or higher, or 900 or lower, then the answer is WEDNESDAY. Changes within a single day which aren't the closing price are irrelevant.
We take (end of prior day) => (end of day in question) as the change, so that we treat "overnight changes" as being part of the subsequent day.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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