Table of contents of Nature will mention LK-99 through 2024
8
67
170
2025
5%
chance

Lk99 must be mentioned in the research section table of contents. Either pro or con. From any researcher. It also counts if the body of the article mentions lk-99 or an unambiguous reference to qerc or materials brought to prominence by the lk-99 papers.

Here's an example ToC. Nature publishes weekly and it appears that the ToC is always online. https://www.nature.com/nature/volumes/620

It only counts if mentioned in a scientific context, not just as an example of problems with science or failures of the process.

EDIT: I think this is implied, but the start date is the creation of this claim

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Single mention during all of 2024? What if mentioned in 2023 but not 2024?

predicts NO

@MartinRandall any mention from time of claim creation through to the end date of the claim.

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