The Church of Scientology will have its federal tax-exempt status revoked in the United States by May 1, 2029. This means Scientology would have to start paying income taxes on its revenue and members could no longer deduct donations.

Resolution: This claim resolves as TRUE if the IRS officially revokes Scientology's tax-exempt status due to an investigation and determination that it no longer qualifies as a religious organization. This could be due to findings of illegal activities, abuses, or violations of regulations.

This claim resolves as FALSE if:

- Scientology's tax-exempt status remains intact past the deadline.
- Scientology appeals or sues to challenge an IRS revocation decision and is successful in overturning it or delaying it past the deadline.
- Scientology creates successor or spin-off organizations that are granted tax-exempt status, allowing the organization to evade the impact of losing tax-exempt status. The claim would resolve FALSE if Scientology's operations continue substantially unchanged despite creating new organizations.