LK-99 will be added to Wikipedia's page on pathological science before 2025
Basic
9
Ṁ964Jan 2
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pathological_science
It must be on the page for at least two weeks
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Wikipedia credit gain-of-function research as possible cause for COVID by 2024?
41% chance
Will there be a Wikipedia page for a computer virus / worm that uses an LLM by the end of 2024?
11% chance
In December of 2026, will Wikipedia ascribe higher credence to the lab leak theory than it did in December of 2023?
40% chance
In 2030, will Wikipedia's article on Race and Intelligence still falsely claim the existence of a scientific consensus for 0% genetic causation?
41% chance
Arxiv will have at least 10 papers mentioning LK-99 or LK99 published in 2024
90% chance
Will Wikipedia still claim that intergenerational trauma can be passed down via a physiological mechanism in January of 2025?
84% chance
Table of contents of Nature will mention LK-99 through 2024
4% chance
Will Wikipedia endorse the lab-leak theory for origins of COVID-19 before 2030?
11% chance
Will there a real Wikipedia article about rationalussy before 2025?
1% chance
Arxiv will have at least 50 papers mentioning LK-99 or LK99 published in 2024
6% chance