
Deadline will be extended to accommodate judgements
On adding questions: please make them clearly judgeable . I reserve the right to cancel if they're not interesting, clear, or judgeable. Keep the tone professional and polite otherwise I will remove or edit the answer.
Specific details on sub-claims:
On whether they have orders of >100m usd, exchanges of stock would count as revenue, translating the value at the time as well as we can back to USD. The point is whether they have sold a lot of things, and gotten a lot of money for it.
All IPO-related claims resolve negatively (i.e. they didn't pass the criteria) if there has been no IPO by mid 2027
media proof required = official company or white house announcement, la times, wash post, economist, reuters, bloomberg, wsj, AP. Nytimes and other media do NOT count.
Consumer product = actually purchaseable by a member of the public
People are also trading
For the consumer-product answer (<$10k in the US by mid-2027), does the definition “actually purchaseable by a member of the public” include paid digital services? Cerebras’s October 13, 2025 announcement offers self-serve Inference starting at $10 and Code Pro at $50/month. Would either count, or is a physical product required?
https://www.cerebras.ai/blog/cerebras-inference-now-available-via-pay-per-token
@Ernie change "visits qhite house" to "visits white house" because the "qhite house" does not exist. but i imagine it is "qhite" a nice place to visit (:
@Ernie resolves yes https://openai.com/index/cerebras-partnership/
through 2028, 750MW of compute so def over 100m