Any of 7 ratcheting political or sports systems decreases
4
130Ṁ31
2040
54%
chance

Any of these things decreases at any time from now until April 7, 2040, from their value on May 22 2023.

  • Number of Olympic summer gold medals given out (340)

  • Number of EU member states (27)

  • Number of executive US government departments (15)

  • Number of branches of the US military (5)

  • Number of US states (50)

  • Number of member countries in the UN (193)

  • Number of MLB baseball teams (30)

The number in parenthesis is the value now, as an example only; if someone claims a real decrease we will look up the values more thoroughly. Truth wins.

In the future we will attempt to use an updated LLM, best available AI, or fall back to our own media/wikipedia style lookups.

This can resolve early if any of those things has a total decrease for at least a week. The US removing one state and then adding another state 1 second later does NOT trigger yes. But if the gap is at least 7 days then it does.

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