Russia deploys tactical nuclear weapons against Ukraine by end of 2024
9
22
190
2025
8%
chance

Russia posesses stockpiles of thermonuclear armed artillery shells. The use of depleted uranium rounds or other non-fissile munitions does not count for the purposes of the question, only fissile weapons. Russia currently posesses such weapons but has not used them.

The use of a "demonstration strike" against an unimportant objective would still count as their deployment. So long as the weapons have been fired they will be considered deployed.

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