Will I make MOP 2027?

Question

Rising junior (class of 28).

USAJMO 2025: 010 777

USAMO 2026: 700 770

TSTST 2026: 700 200 700

I will not trade on this market.

btw I mopped in 26

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (8 traders, as of Jul 31, 2026).

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