Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if Tony's weight drops below 90kg at any point during the specified timeframe. It resolves to NO if Tony's weight remains at or above 90kg throughout the entire period.

Background

Weight loss typically occurs at a rate of 0.5 to 1 kg per week when following a healthy diet and exercise regimen. This is generally considered a safe and sustainable approach to weight loss. Achieving more rapid weight loss is possible but may be more challenging to maintain long-term.

Considerations

• Sustainable weight loss typically involves creating a calorie deficit through a combination of dietary changes and increased physical activity

• Factors such as initial weight, metabolism, consistency with diet and exercise, and individual health conditions can significantly impact weight loss results

• Short-term fluctuations in weight (due to water retention, meal timing, etc.) can affect measurements, so multiple weigh-ins may provide more accurate tracking