Will the prevalence of "will a dragon eat the Sun" markets result in recorded profits becoming meaningless?

7

4

Ṁ23

Ṁ100

resolved May 9

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves to "yes" if markets like the one linked to result in recorded profits becoming meaningless. It will resolve to "no" if they are still meaningful. Interpretation will be subjective. If the free markets are ended by the close date, this will resolve N/A. https://manifold.markets/pmbpanther/will-a-dragon-eat-the-sun-on-may-1

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

Will this market "Are aliens watching Earth?" be resolved in a way I consider meaningful and supported?

Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?

Will Dragon do something before the end of the Year of the Dragon?

Will this market?

Will this market ever become an ancient market?

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ5
2		Ṁ1

Sort by:

predicted NO

going to bring it back down to M$100

bought Ṁ5 of YES

... or not. Instead of nerfing them, the devs tripled their effectiveness.

bought Ṁ1 of NO

I think the prevalence of these markets will lead to free markets getting nerfed

I created a tag #FreeMarketAbuse for this

bought Ṁ1 of NO

It should be easy to see where people got their money unless they get better at making markets...

Related questions

Will this market "Are aliens watching Earth?" be resolved in a way I consider meaningful and supported?

Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?

Will Dragon do something before the end of the Year of the Dragon?

Will this market?

Will this market ever become an ancient market?

Related questions

Will this market "Are aliens watching Earth?" be resolved in a way I consider meaningful and supported?

Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?

Will at least one of the "apocalypse markets" be resolved positively after the apocalypse?

Will Dragon do something before the end of the Year of the Dragon?

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?

Will this market?

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Will this market ever become an ancient market?