Will the next person Aella has sex with for free be Black?
6
100Ṁ136resolved Dec 17
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm defining "Black" pretty loosely; i.e., at 5% Sub-Saharan African ancestry or higher. Dominicans and Cape Coloureds, as well as many Puerto Ricans and Maghrebis count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ31 | |
| 2 | Ṁ7 | |
| 3 | Ṁ5 | |
| 4 | Ṁ4 | |
| 5 | Ṁ2 |
People are also trading
Another Aella gangbang fluffer engaged this year?
20% chance
Will gwern and AellaGirl finally make love?
6% chance
Aella gets engaged to a polyamorous partner who wants kids and has higher income/wealth?
20% chance
When Aella has a child, the identity of the father will be a straight male
60% chance
Will Aella have a child by 2030?
67% chance
Will Qiaochu Yuan and AellaGirl make love?
10% chance
Will Sam Rosen and AellaGirl have sex by EOY 2029?
84% chance
Will AellaGirl get AIDS by 2035
6% chance
Will Nicholas Decker and aella have sex by 2031
33% chance
Will I find someone I like more than Aella liked her ex before 2031?
49% chance
Sort by:
predictedNO
@ahalekelly Also, you were literally the top trader on this market:
https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-have-sex-with-a-new-person-i
People are also trading
Related questions
Another Aella gangbang fluffer engaged this year?
20% chance
Will gwern and AellaGirl finally make love?
6% chance
Aella gets engaged to a polyamorous partner who wants kids and has higher income/wealth?
20% chance
When Aella has a child, the identity of the father will be a straight male
60% chance
Will Aella have a child by 2030?
67% chance
Will Qiaochu Yuan and AellaGirl make love?
10% chance
Will Sam Rosen and AellaGirl have sex by EOY 2029?
84% chance
Will AellaGirl get AIDS by 2035
6% chance
Will Nicholas Decker and aella have sex by 2031
33% chance
Will I find someone I like more than Aella liked her ex before 2031?
49% chance