Will the next person Aella has sex with for free be Black?
16%
chance
Jun 27 (6 hours ago)
M$136 bet
I'm defining "Black" pretty loosely; i.e., at 5% Sub-Saharan African ancestry or higher. Dominicans and Cape Coloureds, as well as many Puerto Ricans and Maghrebis count.
EnopoletusHarding
Enopoletus Harding is betting NO at 16%
I am unable to specify a resolution date.
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ahalekelly
Why do you care? And how do you expect to find out?
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ahalekelly
You expect Aella to tell you who she's having sex with? This market is weird and creepy.
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EnopoletusHarding
Enopoletus Harding is betting NO at 16%
@ahalekelly I don't know if you understand this, but many of my markets are a form of fine art. Through asking seemingly innocuous questions, they help illuminate the nature of the universe.
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EnopoletusHarding
Enopoletus Harding is betting NO at 16%
@ahalekelly Also, you were literally the top trader on this market: https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-have-sex-with-a-new-person-i
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EnopoletusHarding
Insider trading going on here.
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PeterBerggren
Peter Berggren bought M$50 of NO
Going on base rates here.
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