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MANIFOLD
Will Manifold give us the sum total of original invested M$ for markets AND potential marginal profit/loss for sales by the end of May?
4
Ṁ102Ṁ551
resolved May 29
Resolved
NO
See here: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/755126754581938217/974116415483281489/Screenshot_219.png This market resolves to Yes if we get at least both of the following on market pages: the sum of total original M$ value invested in the market AND a measure of % potential marginal profit/loss on the sales proceeds menu the same way we get a measure of % potential marginal profit on the purchase menu. An option to sort by average potential profit or marginal potential profit in our portfolios would be nice, as well as an average % potential profit calculation for mana invested on market pages, but this market will resolve Yes even if none of these happen.
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Not happening this month, haha! The reason we don't show these yet is edge cases with sold / redeemed shares. It's not obvious what is the amount invested really is. Figure out the algorithm for amount invested in these cases and we can do it! E.g. You buy M$100 of YES at 10%, and sell half of it at 30%. What is your investment? What if you bought M$50 of NO at 30% instead of selling? In the latter case, YES and NO shares combine to redeem for M$1 each, and you've made back more than you put in, so investment could be seen as negative, but that's not right. I think there might be a way to subtract the shares sold at the original price rather than sell price to get the investment. But another complication is which shares you are selling, if you bought in a multiple price points. I think that can be solved by always pretending you've sold in chronological order. Does that work? Maybe one day we can try implementing that...
@JamesGrugett We seem to have the sum total invested for the free response markets: https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/755126754581938217/980191477420421130/Screenshot_263.png
predictedNO
@EnopoletusHarding Yup, that's because sales are tied to their original bet.