Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will there be more than 5 mass shootings in America this weekend?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ214
May 25
34%
chance

As defined by the Gun Violence Archive, will there be more than 5 mass shootings within the USA between May 22nd and 24th?

A mass shooting is defined by GVA as an incident in etc 4 or more individuals are shot, fatally or non fatally. This includes shooting victims that were themselves shooters, and does not exclude gang violence.

The data will be taken from the GVA database and includes all day on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. I will allow 12 hours after midnight on Sunday for any late updates to the database before resolving.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!