.
https://www.barrons.com/news/elon-musk-teases-audio-and-video-calls-at-x-a2ec4125
Seems like its an announcement teser screenshot.
https://manifold.markets/alessandro/will-x-implement-voicevideo-calls-b?r=VGhlQmF5ZXNpYW4 This
market has a higher chance of resolving and is still at 95
@TheBayesian Do you think there is anything about these two markets that are not the same? Is there some possibility this one resolves No and the other one resolves Yes? I wonder what I'm missing.
@Eliza This one has a market marker whose last manifold markets visit seems to be 2 months ago? Idk how this side deals with market makers that leave
@TheBayesian Trustworthy users have the power to resolve markets when the creator is inactive. I promise it will resolve Yes promptly if it is determined to be a Yes. I have been trying to search for someone who publishes an actual article (not Tweets) about this 'feature' to have some kind of proof that it is Yes and not just a misunderstanding.
@Eliza Makes sense, thank you. When I got on X there was a thing saying ‘we are adding video calls to X’ or something, so knew this would most likely resolve yes. But the two markets keep having a few % apart, ig there’s not that much money in aligning them? Idk
I do not think Elon Musk will provide a voice and video call feature before 2024 but rather the start of 2024. According to the abc news, Elon Musk plans to provide voice and video call services. However it does not give a specific timeline as to when this will be launched (Associated Press, 2023). According to the graph above as of the 23rd of october at 12pm, there is a 26% chance that twitter/x will provide voice and video call services before 2024. This means that there are more people that think Twitter will not provide these services. this could be because of the timeline.
An article by Forbes News also highlights that Elon Musk released a teased video about x to change twitter to an "everything app". There was also no launch date in this video. However, there is a probability that it might come out sometime next year as he released the video this year (Ray,2023). Musk also released this tease video since August yet has not introduced the feature yet (Ray,2023).
Reference
The Associated Press. (2023, August 31). Elon Musk says X, formerly Twitter, will have voice and video calls, updates privacy policy. ABC News. https://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/elon-musk-twitter-voice-video-calls-updates-privacy-102840749
Ray, S. (2023, August 31). Musk Teases Video and Voice Calling on X in Effort to Turn App Into a Global Address Book. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2023/08/31/musk-teases-video-and-voice-calling-on-x-in-effort-to-turn-app-into-a-global-address-book/?sh=75965ffd4991
@roma ya but the CTO put the "cool" tag on it in their jira sprint https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1714343357286092987