Will Twitter / X.com provide voice and video call services before 2024?
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resolved Oct 26
Resolved
YES

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predicted YES

.

predicted YES

well looky here...

predicted YES

If someone can post proof that this feature actually exists, or some kind of reputable news report or announcement, I will ask another Trustworthy user to review it.

If the feature is only "announced" and not real, we probably can't resolve it yet.

predicted NO

@EliGaultney why did you just buy no?

@EliGaultney @Eliza I do not seem to have the setting, so I don't think it's fully rolled out yet.

predicted NO

@Vergissfunktor I didn't see that announcement yet lol

predicted YES

@TheBayesian Do you think there is anything about these two markets that are not the same? Is there some possibility this one resolves No and the other one resolves Yes? I wonder what I'm missing.

@Eliza This one has a market marker whose last manifold markets visit seems to be 2 months ago? Idk how this side deals with market makers that leave

whereas the other market maker was on the site at least 5 days ago

@TheBayesian site* not side

predicted YES

@TheBayesian Trustworthy users have the power to resolve markets when the creator is inactive. I promise it will resolve Yes promptly if it is determined to be a Yes. I have been trying to search for someone who publishes an actual article (not Tweets) about this 'feature' to have some kind of proof that it is Yes and not just a misunderstanding.

@Eliza Makes sense, thank you. When I got on X there was a thing saying ‘we are adding video calls to X’ or something, so knew this would most likely resolve yes. But the two markets keep having a few % apart, ig there’s not that much money in aligning them? Idk

bought Ṁ2,895 of YES
sold Ṁ930 of YES

@Emiliano are you still on the site?

bought Ṁ5 of NO

I do not think Elon Musk will provide a voice and video call feature before 2024 but rather the start of 2024. According to the abc news, Elon Musk plans to provide voice and video call services. However it does not give a specific timeline as to when this will be launched (Associated Press, 2023). According to the graph above as of the 23rd of october at 12pm, there is a 26% chance that twitter/x will provide voice and video call services before 2024. This means that there are more people that think Twitter will not provide these services. this could be because of the timeline.

An article by Forbes News also highlights that Elon Musk released a teased video about x to change twitter to an "everything app". There was also no launch date in this video. However, there is a probability that it might come out sometime next year as he released the video this year (Ray,2023). Musk also released this tease video since August yet has not introduced the feature yet (Ray,2023).

Reference

The Associated Press. (2023, August 31). Elon Musk says X, formerly Twitter, will have voice and video calls, updates privacy policy. ABC News. https://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory/elon-musk-twitter-voice-video-calls-updates-privacy-102840749

Ray, S. (2023, August 31). Musk Teases Video and Voice Calling on X in Effort to Turn App Into a Global Address Book. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2023/08/31/musk-teases-video-and-voice-calling-on-x-in-effort-to-turn-app-into-a-global-address-book/?sh=75965ffd4991

bought Ṁ45 of YES

They already are doing voice/video for streaming, its just a matter of sending the stream to a single user instead of everyone at once.

predicted NO

@Blomfilter Except delay matters much more and probably many other small things

predicted YES

@roma ya but the CTO put the "cool" tag on it in their jira sprint https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1714343357286092987

predicted YES

@Blomfilter looks like that Cool tag got bumped to last weeks sprint

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