Who will win the Paris-Nice 2024 General Classification? (2.UWT)
19
152
1.6K
resolved Mar 10
100%99.9%
Matteo Jorgenson
0.0%
Primoz Roglic
0.0%
Remco Evenepoel
0.0%
Mattias Skjelmose
0.0%
Pello Bilbao
0.0%
Joao Almeida
0.0%
David Gaudu
0.0%
Egan Bernal
0.0%
Luke Plapp
0.0%
Brandon McNulty
0.0%
Santiago Buitrago
0.0%Other

Resolves to the immediate winner as presented on the final stage podium. Won't re-resolve if the result changes later.

Race starts 3 March 2024.

See also:

/Eliza/who-will-win-the-tirrenoadriatico-2

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sold Ṁ0 Luke Plapp YES

First Kuss, now Jorgenson, which American will win a WT stage race next!?!?

bought Ṁ3,000 Matteo Jorgenson YES

Daily reminder for @Eliza to watch that race

@Lion I don't need a reminder! I just need to wait until the point in the day I can watch it 😁 I've never forgotten!

This market seems decidedly UNdecided with just 1 stage to go!

@Eliza Looks like things have shifted since that comment, with several users essentially betting against the current leader, McNulty.

Due to the unfavourable weather conditions in the Alpes-Maritimes department and according to the weather forecast for the weekend, and in order to ensure the safety of the riders, the #ParisNice organising teams, in agreement with the city of Nice, the Nice Côte d'Azur Metropole, the Alpes-Maritimes Prefecture and after consulting the panel of commissaires of the International Cycling Union (UCI), the representatives of the teams and riders (AIGCP, CPA), have decided to modify the route of stage 7. The finish will take place at the summit of the Madone d'Utelle, which offers an ascent of 15.3 km at an average of 5.7 pc, with some sections at 8 pc. The Madone d'Utelle has already hosted Paris-Nice, in 2016. Ilnur Zakarin had raised his arms in front of Geraint Thomas and Alberto Contador. Starting from Nice, the riders will have a hard day ahead of them with a 104-km stage and 2,000 metres of elevation. The first 89 kilometres of the initial stage have been retained. At Saint-Jean La Rivière, the riders will find themselves at the foot of the final climb, which promises a spectacular final battle between the favourites for the general classification.

Basically, first 89km the same, then the climbs are chopped off and a different climb finish instead.

This is the OLD profile.

bought Ṁ50 Remco Evenepoel NO

@Eliza New finish climb

Buying some No on Remco who is not in the lead.

There is probably a chance for more changes to the final stage.

@Eliza with this change for tomorrow it looks more likely for UAE to defend McNulty tomorrow

bought Ṁ10 Egan Bernal YES

I put Bernal back up to 5% -- if he is 5% to win the TDF he's got to be 5% to take 10 seconds on Remco somehow!

bought Ṁ100 Primoz Roglic NO

I couldn't see the stage, but it looks like Bora got destroyed in the TTT almost one minute lost, that's probably it for Roglic ☹ but it is not all set for Remco. UAE has two GC-ish riders (Almeida and McNulty) ahead with 18 seconds, and Egan is 2 seconds behind.

@egroj 4 riders if you count Jay Vine and Finn Fisher-Black (he podium-ed at Tour of Oman and AlUla). I like UAE's odds, keep those guys close to Remco and Egan, let the leader tomorrow go to the breakaway, there's a bunch of knuckleheads that will try to control tomorrow (Movistar being Movistar will defend Guerrero's 50th position 😂 ) and Thursday and Friday is the sprinter's teams job, so you can rest until Saturday. Then on Saturday, attack Remco with those 4 guys one after the other at Auron, to see if he breaks.

Tomorrow should be a great stage, I hope that Roglic tries something epic.