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MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2026 Giro d'Italia Women? [V4]
14
Ṁ30kṀ38k
resolved Jun 7
100%47%
Demi Vollering
38%
Anna van der Breggen
15%Other

Resolves to the person awarded the leaders jersey at the podium event after the conclusion of the final stage. If there is no final stage podium, resolves to the first person publicly announced by the race organizer as the winner (website, social media, press release, etc.).

Any questions ask!

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Cycling
Peloton Discord
Womens Cycling
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If this would've finished in May I could still be in Master's lol. Fun market though. I appreciate the high liquidity. It incentivizes me to research a market I wouldn't normally know much about.

What an incredible race

@RedzoneITG exactly what someone would say who snuck off with 25k of liquidity while I was setting up the market 🤣🤣🤣

Would anyone be willing to push Anna below ~85% if I made a 5th version of this?

@Eliza What has happened in the cycling? Does this mean Anna has about 15% chance or about 85% chance to win?

@Jack1 she has a 50 second lead with 1 stage to go. Out of all the possible people with a 50 second lead she is one of the least likely to blow it because she is very experienced.

bought Ṁ5,000 NO

This is probably the final version, I don't expect to reopen after Stage 8.

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