Which TEAMS will win a stage at the 2024 Tour de France?
Basic
18
Ṁ9725
resolved Jul 22
Resolved
YES
Team Visma | Lease A Bike
Resolved
YES
Alpecin - Deceuninck
Resolved
YES
Arkea - B&B Hotels
Resolved
YES
Astana Qazaqstan Team
Resolved
YES
EF Education - EasyPost
Resolved
YES
Intermarche - Wanty
Resolved
YES
Soudal Quick-Step
Resolved
YES
Team DSM - Firmenich PostNL
Resolved
YES
Team Jayco AlUla
Resolved
YES
UAE Team Emirates
Resolved
NO
LIDL - Trek
Resolved
NO
Bahrain Victorious
Resolved
NO
Cofidis
Resolved
NO
Bora - Hansgrohe
Resolved
NO
Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale
Resolved
NO
Groupama - FDJ
Resolved
NO
INEOS Grenadiers
Resolved
NO
Movistar Team

Resolves based on the award at the podium presentation after a stage. If the result changes after that point, this market will not change its resolution.

All the losers get resolved after the podium presentation after the last stage.

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bought Ṁ15 NO

and I was going to say to include Lotto...

bought Ṁ5 NO

Hilarious.

This is truly the Tour of Small Teams. Poor INEOS.

@Eliza Which stage are they supposed to win?

That one!

@Eliza can resolve YES

sold Ṁ32 YES

TotalEnergies was not even on the list 😂

And we have this question on a Dashboard as well: https://manifold.markets/news/tdf-24-stages

"Arkea and DSM win the first two stages of the 2024 Tour de France" was not on my bingo card.

bought Ṁ280 YES

But I hope at least "Arkea and DSM and Intermarché-Wanty win the first three stages of the 2024 Tour de France". Who didn't see that coming? 🤣

Next up: Israel

But IPT has won last year a stage wich Woods. Lotto-Soudal or Astana (not with Cavendish) would be funnier. Or a full Conti team like Uno-X.

Maybe that low-budget team Visma | Lease a Bike will be able to squeak one out.

lmfao, this quote is so legendary 😆

bought Ṁ191 YES

And it's UAE, I can't believe it.

Time to start buying No on Visma | Lease a Bike.

I fully support that. I'd even put up a limit order on 10%.

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 90% order

way too early, both WvA and Jonas should get better as the tour progresses. For Jonas it might be too late to win though. In any case, I just put M$500 on an order at 90% in case you don't agree.

@egroj Pls stop destroying the market with your dumping price. 🤣

ups I just realized it is a mini market, I should have put M$50 😂

On a serious note: You can put up as large of a limit order as you would like to. Mini just means that the AMM is pretty sensible and it isn't a good advice to pump M$500 as one buy into the market (as long as no limit orders are up). If someone would like to fill it, they can.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Don't worry, I used 50 mana (five cents) to match most of this order. My balance can handle it.

The team names got announced last week so I added them today!

Better to wait anyway, with the defending champions team still unknown.

Sounds great. I am all in on this one when you are ready.

@MikeLewis Thanks for the support, Mike. I would have filled in some team names already, but most teams do not have a confirmed 'Team Name' for 2024 quite yet. There should be some solid ones within a few weeks. I'm not able to edit an answer after it is submitted, so I would rather wait a little bit. Out of all the teams, I think Lidl-Trek might be one that is nearly 100% to stay the same name.

There are some other cycling markets under the #cycling tag if you want to check out some that are already available to play right now. Or make your own!

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