Which SPRINTERS will win a stage at the 2024 Tour de France?
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25
Ṁ13k
resolved Jul 22
Resolved
YES
Jasper Philipsen
Resolved
YES
Mark Cavendish
Resolved
YES
Dylan Groenewegen
Resolved
YES
Biniam Girmay
Resolved
NO
Olav Kooij
Resolved
NO
Caleb Ewan
Resolved
NO
Arnaud De Lie
Resolved
NO
Wout van Aert
Resolved
NO
Mads Pedersen
Resolved
NO
Fabio Jakobsen

I will add answers on request but I want to stick to the main sprinters in the field with this question. For teams, see the teams market.

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Wout van Aert

@Eliza What stage is he going to win!?!?

he was close today, was blocked and still came second

also to be clear if he wins another stage from the breakaway it still counts, right?

Yep that also counts. I included him here because a sprint win is his most likely given the team role he has on harder stages.

bought Ṁ100 Wout van Aert YES

How about today?

Fabio Jakobsen
bought Ṁ484 Fabio Jakobsen NO

@Eliza 💔

@Eliza can resolve NO, he DNS today

DNF*

boughtṀ22Wout van Aert YES

@Iamczecksy Is he WASHED UP!??!?!

Jasper Philipsen

@Eliza he won today, can resolve YES

bought Ṁ458 Mads Pedersen NO

@Eliza Pedersen DNS today, can resolve NO

the beak worked

Is there any interesting sprinter who should be on the list who is not? With at least a 5% chance or so?

Kristoff?

is this one of the new markets that resolve to 100% for each answer that occurs, or will you be splitting the percentages among all the winners?

@egroj Yeah I only made this because I was trying to think of things to do with the new market type.

I think there is also some predictive value to choosing who will win a stage before you know who is starting, but it is a bit early since we don't even know the route.

Could you add Olav Kooij, Dylan Groenewegen, Mads Pedersen and Fabio Jakobsen

@egroj also Biniam Girmay and Caleb Ewan

@egroj I'm curios if Jayco takes Ewan or Groenewegen or both to the tour. I hope that there will be at least some drama 😂

@Lion logic says Groenewegen, but Jayco is an Australian team and that might play a role. I guess we'll see by the spring who's sprinting best. Right now, I'm being NO on Ewan winning a stage even if end up going to the Tour

@egroj Thanks for creating the question:

@Lion you're fast!

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