How many riders will wear the yellow jersey in the 2024 Tour de France?
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17
Ṁ17k
resolved Jul 22
100%99.0%
3
0.2%
4
0.2%
5
0.2%
6
0.2%
7
0.1%
8
0.1%
Any other amount

The rider must actually wear the jersey, either in the award ceremony at the end of a stage or in the race the next day.

The last time 5 riders wore the yellow jersey was 2020, and before that 2013. Most other years in that time span have seen 4 riders wear the yellow jersey.

As of the end of Stage 3, the count is 3: Bardet, Pogacar, Carapaz

maillot jaune

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Great market! If Pogi goes tomorrow with a yellow bike I'll buy more 3

bought Ṁ50 YES

Just to confirm: Pogi retaking the jersey today doesn’t count as 4, does it?

He already wore it, his name is listed in the description -- the total is still on 3.

Great, thanks.

Added the question to this Dashboard https://manifold.markets/news/tdf-24-dailystage-jerseys

boughtṀ500 NO

@Lion Warning, Jonaspilled user has entered the market.

lol, I amn't even a Jonas fan. And I think Remco will take it next.

At the end of today's stage, Remco intentionally slowed down to stay behind Pogacar, and Pogacar couldn't help but grin and shrug when he saw Remco's move.

That said, Remco will absolutely attempt to take that yellow jersey, just didn't want it today. If they're close after Stage 4, they can differentiate themselves on the time trial!

I think 5 is probably right although I did put money on 6 originally. I hoped the break would win today and someone take it from Carapaz.

Bardet, Tadej, Richay. (I went for the rhymes)

Remco on Friday.
Tadej/Jonas back and forth tussle in week 3.

I don't know why letting the break win and take the yellow jersey is so out of style 😢. That's three races in one, so much more fun.

Next couple of stages are too flat and there's too many sprinters to let the break go away, and Friday is ITT so GC guys will get even more difference. I think it's for GC guys from now on. Very unlikely Remco on Friday, if not then Jonas on week 3 if he gets to top form and Pogi cracks, but quite likely no changes from now on

It’s not over yet. 😎

bought Ṁ50 NO

45 seconds on a flat (yeah there are few meters of elevation) 25km ITT should be possible for Remco. Vingegaard and Pogacar aren't that good on flat courses.

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