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MANIFOLD
When will OpenAI release a technical report on the Hugging Face hack?
70
Ṁ6kṀ110k
resolved Aug 30
Resolved
August 23 - August 29
100%99.5%
August 23 - August 29
0.1%
Before August 2
0.1%
August 2 - August 8
0.2%
August 9 - August 15
0.1%
August 16 - August 22
0.1%
Later

In their blogpost disclosing that one of their unreleased models hacked Huggingface, OpenAI said,

> We are conducting a thorough review along with external advisors and with oversight from the Safety and Security Committee. Once the review is complete, we will publish a technical report of our learnings in the coming weeks.

When will this technical report be released?

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@mods Due to a 24 hour period of inactivity, I'd ask this market to be resolved August 23-29 YES

bought Ṁ1,500 YES

@EliTyre resolves August 23-29 YES

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2092691861773160673

https://simonwillison.net/2026/Aug/7/openai-timeline/ seems like soon

Now we have a timeline of the OpenAI accidental attack against Hugging Face
OpenAI gave a last-minute presentation at the Black Hat security on Wednesday about “the Hugging Face Incident” (previously on this blog). The video was published yesterday. It’s short and information …
opened a Ṁ8,000 NO at 1.0% order

Large 170k limit order on before August 2 if anyone is interested

Before August 2 can resolve NO

bought Ṁ200 NO

@PhilipDowdell How do I do that?

@EliTyre I think you should be able to click on "Resolve" under the market, and then resolve only the one option. I know I did it pretty recently with my "when will the next Fable be released" market. It might depend on how you set up the market but this looks roughly equivalent to mine where I was able to do it.

@PhilipDowdell As far as I know, what you describe only works on independent markets, and this one is dependent.

@GilearFaeth oh, you're right. that's i guess one reason why the overlapping "before X" "Before x+1" "Before x+2" markets are preferred rather than discrete bins.