
Will MSFT's stock price increase over the week after GPT-5 is released?
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Released = publicly announced and available to at least some form of private beta, e.g. consisting of ChatGPT Plus members.
I will compare the most recent closing price a week after release to the most recent closing price before the release date.
The motivation is to test the hypothesis that markets will predictably underrate the capabilities of GPT-5, as they may be currently underrating the speed of AI progress.
I won't trade in this market.
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