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MANIFOLD
What maximum value will Russian retail petrol price index by cbonds.ru (CFRI) reach in August 2026
7
Ṁ150Ṁ162
Sep 1
75.7 rubles
expected
11%
Below 75
42%
75 - 79.999
26%
80 - 84.999
11%
85 - 89.999
10%
Above 90

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the maximum daily value (in RUB per liter) reached during the month of August 2026 by the Розничный индекс топлива Cbonds (РФ, АИ-95) (Cbonds Retail Fuel Index or CRFI for AI-95 in Russia).

  • Data Source: The primary source of truth is the official https://cbonds.ru/petrol/ index page.

  • Discontinuation/Missing Data: If Cbonds fails to publish daily data for any days in August 2026, the maximum value will be determined from the available published daily data points for that month. If no data at all is published for August 2026 by September 15, 2026, this market will resolve as N/A.

Background

The Cbonds Retail Fuel Index (CRFI) was launched in late June 2026 as part of a dedicated "Petrol" section available on cbonds.ru. The index is calculated daily in Russian Rubles per liter (including VAT) based on verified retail market data, weighted by regional automotive registration volumes.

Market context
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