Resolves to the number of people who commit romantic acts of affection with each other at the Math Olympiad Program (MOP). Update 2026-06-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For PDA to count, a third party must have witnessed the romantic act of affection (i.e., it must be truly "public").

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 0, followed by 1-2 and 3-4 are most likely. See the market for live updates (23 traders, as of Jun 22, 2026).

How many people will PDA at MOP 2026?

MANIFOLD

How many people will PDA at MOP 2026?

Ṁ175Ṁ1.1k

2027

45%

39%

1-2

3-4

5-8

9-16

17-30

0.9%

Over 30

Resolves to the number of people who commit romantic acts of affection with each other at the Math Olympiad Program (MOP).

Update 2026-06-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For PDA to count, a third party must have witnessed the romantic act of affection (i.e., it must be truly "public").

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Is this the number of people who get formally caught by staff, or the number of people in total?

Also, how will you get the number?

@BenjaminJiang i think for the display of affection to count as "public" a third party must have seen it. getting the number will then not be difficult, since all such pda edges will be well known by moppers.