Will the actors strike end by November 7, 2023?
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38
Ṁ19k
resolved Nov 8
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if there is a tentative agreement with the negotiators of the strike and the studios before the close date

Resolves NO at close date if there is no tentative agreement

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predicted YES

Damn, just 1 day late. I feel pretty good about all the money I put on yes here though, the exact timing didn't work out but I think it's clear the market was underpriced the last couple weeks. Fortunately the Nov 15 market was also underpriced so I think I still came out ahead overall on the sag strike markets

predicted NO

I’ll wait to resolve the market to make sure that they didn’t come to a deal yet. If they shook hands on a tentative deal or equivalent before midnight est then it still resolves yes

predicted NO

@Panfilo are they currently in the negotiating room right now? we’ve got 2 hours

predicted YES

@DylanSlagh Oh yeah I should check, is there a reason this is EST instead of Pacific? Given that they're all west coast.

predicted NO

@Panfilo only that thats that’s the time zone I’m in and I didn’t think about it when creating the market. Too late to change though as I and presumably other people were trading on that

predicted NO

https://variety.com/2023/biz/news/sag-aftra-responds-last-best-final-1235781650/

"Meanwhile, the union continued to hit the picket lines on Monday in New York and Los Angeles. SAG-AFTRA has scheduled regular picketing through Thursday, with a planned day off on Friday for Veterans Day."