What states, if any, will disqualify Trump from running in their 2024 Republican Primary?
Plus
43
Ṁ15kresolved Mar 8
100%99.5%
None
0.0%
New Hampshire
0.0%
California
0.0%
Michigan
0.1%
Colorado
0.0%
Arizona
0.0%
Florida
0.0%
Washington
0.0%
Illinois
0.0%
Oregon
0.1%
Maine
0.1%Other
Resolves equally to all states which disqualify trump from running in their 2024 Republican Primary elections. If no states disqualify trump then this market resolves 100% to "None"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Resolved because the corresponding YES-NO version was resolved by @MartinRandall
How will the market resolve if a state initially forbids trump from running, but the decision is reversed by voting day?
@B If Trump is on the ballot on voting day he obviously hasn't been disqualified. doesn't matter what's happened before that.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?
42% chance
Will an impeachment or criminal conviction disqualify Trump from running in the 2024 presidential elections?
7% chance
Will Trump be disqualified AFTER being elected?
5% chance
How many states will disqualify Donald Trump from their ballots?
Will the US Supreme Court disqualify Donald Trump from holding presidential office under Section 3 of the Constitution?
4% chance
Will Congress disqualify Trump from holding office before 2025 inauguration?
3% chance