What states, if any, will disqualify Trump from running in their 2024 Republican Primary?
Plus
43
Ṁ15kresolved Mar 8
100%99.5%
None
0.0%
New Hampshire
0.0%
California
0.0%
Michigan
0.1%
Colorado
0.0%
Arizona
0.0%
Florida
0.0%
Washington
0.0%
Illinois
0.0%
Oregon
0.1%
Maine
0.1%Other
Resolves equally to all states which disqualify trump from running in their 2024 Republican Primary elections. If no states disqualify trump then this market resolves 100% to "None"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
How will the market resolve if a state initially forbids trump from running, but the decision is reversed by voting day?
@B If Trump is on the ballot on voting day he obviously hasn't been disqualified. doesn't matter what's happened before that.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump be disqualified AFTER being elected?
5% chance
Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?
42% chance
Will the US Supreme Court disqualify Donald Trump from holding presidential office under Section 3 of the Constitution?
4% chance
How many states will disqualify Donald Trump from their ballots?
Will Congress disqualify Trump from holding office before 2025 inauguration?
3% chance