Who will post the best April Fools post on the EA Forum? Prop Bets

Question

Once a year on April Fools day, EAs desecrate the sacred halls of the Effective Altruism forum with humor: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/april-fools-day-1

What org or individual will post the best? The market closes at the end of the day. One week later, I'll resolve according to Karma count.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Center for Effective Altruism, followed by Forethought and/or Will MacAskill and Bentham's Bulldog are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Apr 1, 2026).

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