Will ByteDance sell TikTok to a US company/individual?
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A bill is currently awaiting vote from the US Senate, and given it passes and isn’t vetoed, it would require ByteDance, the owner of TikTok to be sell the social media platform
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
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Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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