Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Stephen Curry is officially traded from the Golden State Warriors to another NBA franchise before the tip-off of the first official game of the 2026–27 NBA regular season (scheduled to begin on October 20, 2026).

Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

Key Rules & Edge Cases:

• Source of Truth: The trade must be officially confirmed by the NBA, announced by the franchises involved, or reported by highly reliable sports news outlets (such as ESPN or NBA.com) and leading league insiders (such as Shams Charania) prior to the start of the season's first game.

• Timing: The trade transaction must be officially completed and registered with the NBA office before the scheduled tip-off of the opening game of the regular season. An "agreed in principle" report that is not finalized by that time will resolve to NO.

• Retirement/Buyout: If Curry retires, is waived, or has his contract bought out prior to the season's start without being traded, the market resolves to NO.

• Season Delay: If the start of the 2026–27 NBA regular season is delayed for any reason, the resolution cutoff will adjust to the new tip-off time of the first regular-season game.

Background

Stephen Curry is entering the final year of his contract for the 2026–27 NBA season, where he is scheduled to earn $62.6 million. He becomes eligible to sign a two-year, $136.7 million contract extension on August 29, 2026.

Following a relatively quiet offseason for the Golden State Warriors—which saw them miss out on landing top targets like LeBron James and deal with a long-term injury to Jimmy Butler—reports suggest Curry may delay signing an extension to pressure the front office into aggressive "win-now" roster moves. This friction has fueled speculation about his long-term future in San Francisco. However, league insiders maintain that the Warriors and Curry have a strong mutual interest in finalizing an extension, making an offseason trade highly improbable.

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