Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the total number of criminal indictment counts officially filed against Jared Leto in any U.S. federal, state, or local court (or equivalent international criminal court) during the calendar year of 2026 (up to December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT).

• Source of Truth: Official court dockets, public criminal records, or reporting from major, reputable news outlets (such as Reuters or AP News) confirming the filing of charges.

• Counts definition: This refers strictly to individual criminal charges contained within an official indictment or formal criminal complaint filed by a government prosecuting authority.

• Civil vs. Criminal: Civil lawsuits, administrative actions, or public accusations do not count towards this total. Only formal criminal prosecutions apply.

• No indictments: If no criminal indictments are filed against Jared Leto during 2026, this market will resolve to 0.

• Multiple or Amended Indictments: If multiple separate indictments are filed within 2026, the total number of counts across all indictments will be summed. If an indictment filed in 2026 is amended or superseded before the end of the year, the count total from the most active/latest version of the indictment as of December 31, 2026, will be used.

Background

In July 2026, the BBC released the documentary "Jared Leto: Hollywood's Dark Secret," in which ten women accused the actor and Thirty Seconds to Mars frontman of sexual misconduct, grooming, and criminal sexual conduct. The allegations describe events occurring between 2002 and 2016, when several of the accusers were minors.

Leto has denied all allegations, calling them "absolutely and categorically false". Despite the high-profile allegations and renewed public scrutiny, no criminal charges have been filed against Leto as of late July 2026. This market predicts the quantitative outcome of any potential criminal prosecutions initiated before the end of the year.

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