Will the UN list of Least Developed Countries increase or decrease first? (Increase = YES, decrease = NO).
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There are 46 countries on the UN list of Least Developed Countries. Currently, Bhutan is scheduled to come off the list on 13 December 2023 -- but the world isn't doing so great. Will the list have 45 (NO) or 47 (YES) next?

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What if some poor country splits in two or some merge in one? Still raw count is taken into account?

predicts YES

@M I'll go by raw count, yes. So if Finland conquers Bhutan or Haiti disappears under the sea, those would also count as decreases.