Will the Federal Reserve make a basis-point hike between 49 and 99 points in March?
19
100Ṁ1665resolved Mar 31
Resolved
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Will Federal Reserve make a 50 or 75 basis point hike in the fed funds target rate between the start of March 1st and the end of March 31st? This will still resolve YES if they do something wired like a 63% hike, or if they do two separate 25 basis point hikes. It will resolve NO if they fall outside this range for the totality of March, e.g., two 50 point hikes would result in NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Real market expectations about this is here: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/stirs/30-day-federal-fund.quotes.html
A little tricky to interpret it (my initial misinterpretation led me to buying NO, which I sold immediately after due to correcting my interpretation. Sorry about that, no funny business was intended.)