Will "In God We Trust" be removed from the US dollar bill before 2030?
Will "In God We Trust" be removed from the US dollar bill before 2030?
37
1kṀ7252030
9%
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Will there be a year before 2030 in which the majority of US dollar bills printed do not have the words "in God we trust" or close equivalent (e.g., referencing God in a positive light in any language)? If the dollar bill is discontinued entirely, this market will resolve N/A, regardless of the design on any existing dollar coins. If printing is paused for a year, the market will wait for printing to resume.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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