Will a webcomic written by an AI have more than 25,000 followers on Twitter by the end of 2022?
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แน€140
resolved Jan 1
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NO

Will a webcomic (a comic-strip or comic panel style of formatting, whether humorous or not) output by an AI be available on Twitter AND gain 25,000 or more followers by the end of 2022? If a current webcomic is taken over by an AI, it will have to gain 25,000 new followers to qualify. If an account includes both AI webcomics and also non-AI-webcomic content, the market will be decided on the most popular content, as judge by retweets. #AI #fun #webcomics #twitter

Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 pm

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25k is really a lot
predicted YES
Progress: (https://medium.com/@ryanestrada/for-exposure-comics-33ec400737ca)
predicted YES
( https://medium.com/@ryanestrada/for-exposure-comics-33ec400737ca )
predicted NO
@Duncan i don't think this would be fair to count as "written by AI" though. It's apparently quotes pulled from choosing beggars.
predicted YES
@agentydragon I agree.
bought แน€10 of YES
I'll make one as if/when I get access to DALLE-2 โ€”ย I would use GPT-3 generated text inserted into DALLE-2 images.
bought แน€20 of NO
Cursory googling indicates no significant attempts at an AI-generated webcomic are currently active. Barring inside information, NO feels like a strong bet at 42%. That said, it would be really cool to see someone try to move the market...
bought แน€5 of YES
> I think ther market is really underestimating how hard it is for webcomics to get 25k followers on Twitter. As a counterpoint, there are several manga artists with >~1 million Twitter followers: https://animesweet.com/anime/who-is-the-mangaka-with-the-most-followers-on-twitter-the-top-5/ (That said, I'm not sure if manga-style art would count for this question.)
bought แน€15 of NO
Like R said, 25k followers is a LOT more than you guys seem to think it is
bought แน€30 of NO
I think ther market is really underestimating how hard it is for webcomics to get 25k followers on Twitter. Look at SMBC-guy: he's got 25k followers. XKCD-guy has 200k followers.
bought แน€1 of YES
Also, now I'm curious if someone is going to set up the AI + account just to win this bet. Maybe I should have aimed higher.
bought แน€1 of YES
But... no one is likely to buy it a bunch of bot followers just to win this bet. Are they?
bought แน€5 of YES
Yes, in no small part because if the only requirement is followers why couldn't it get a lot of bot followers? I mean it works for a lot of insecure celebrities.

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