[Will Mamdani win?] x [Will the murder rate increase in NYC?]
9
100Ṁ1562029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
36%
Mamdani wins + Murder rate increases
51%
Mamdani wins + Murder rate decreases
7%
Mamdani loses + Murder rate increases
6%
Mamdani loses + Murder rate decreases
Murder rate comparison will be between:
The four years before the next mayoral election
The four years after the next mayoral election
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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