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This election is absolutely wild and everyone should be paying attention. Background for Americans: https://time.com/6556335/pakistan-election-imran-khan-nawaz-sharif-military-pti/
No, Because Imran Khan is being sentenced to three years in prison for illegally selling state gifts. Moreover he is being disqualified from running for office for five years by Election Commission of Pakistan. Most of his senior leaderships part their way from "Pakistan Tahreek Insaaf" such as Fawad Chaudry (Information Ministers), Shireen Mazari (Ex-Human Rights Minister), Maleeka Bukhari (Former Spokes person on legal issues) and many others. He took a fight with four major and strong pillors of the country 1) Judiciary 2) Establishment 3) 11 Political Parties 4) Foreign. And moreover recently the 3 times Prime Minister "Nawaz Sharif" has returned to country who was out of country for 4 years. And his returns in these situations indirectly suggest that he could be the next PM? So logically it is not possible for the former minister to be a next pm.....
Election Commission Statement of Disqualification: https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/08/asia/pakistan-imran-khan-disqualified-intl/index.html
List of people who left Imran Khan: https://www.geo.tv/latest/489164-here-is-a-list-of-pti-leaders-who-quit-party-up-till-now
Imran khan is bein accused and arrested on false accusation and cases but he received bailed most of the cases there being filed on him are fake and the supreme court already proved him innocent. All of his ex-MNs and MPS are also being arrested under false accusation and whoever left his party gets a free hand. Now a days most of the public interview people
@wilkess The top 9 traders who are predicting Yes on this market have just this market in their portfolio. They haven't traded in anything else. Very suspicious.
@wilkess I'm currently the number 1 no holder, but I'm not personally comfortable betting it much below 20% because I have not followed Pakistani politics at all, ever. It sure seems to me like he won't hold office, but I don't trust Google news enough to bet past 15 percent and don't think the small number of internet points are worth investigating the issue to where I'm comfortable betting past that.
If you think this probability is out of whack, buy mana or ask someone for a loan and then bet it down! Take the money I'm leaving on the table!
Imran Khan, a former prime minister of Pakistan, was barred from holding public office for five years by the country’s electoral authorities. Mr Khan will also be dismissed as an MP. Last week he was sentenced to three years in prison for charges of corruption. Mr Khan, who says he is being held in a “tiny, dirty” cell, claims the charges are politically motivated