Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which author will have the most books among the "100 Best Books of the 21st Century"?
10
Ṁ1kṀ10k
resolved Jul 12
50%58%
George Saunders
50%41%Other
0.1%
Zadie Smith
0.1%
Philip Roth
0.1%
Kazuo Ishiguro
0.1%
Haruki Murakami
0.1%
Hilary Mantel

Resolves YES if the author has the most books of any author listed in the New York Times "100 Best Books of the 21st Century" series (co-authorship counts). https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/books/best-books-21st-century.html

Resolves No otherwise

Their methodology was: "In collaboration with the Upshot — the department at The Times focused on data and analytical journalism — the Book Review sent a survey to hundreds of novelists, nonfiction writers, academics, book editors, journalists, critics, publishers, poets, translators, booksellers, librarians and other literary luminaries, asking them to pick their 10 best books of the 21st century.

We let them each define “best” in their own way. For some, this simply meant “favorite.” For others, it meant books that would endure for generations.

The only rules: Any book chosen had to be published in the United States, in English, on or after Jan. 1, 2000. (Yes, translations counted!)

After casting their ballots, respondents were given the option to answer a series of prompts where they chose their preferred book between two randomly selected titles. We combined data from these prompts with the vote tallies to create the list of the top 100 books."

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ496
2Ṁ272
3Ṁ12
4Ṁ11
5Ṁ7
Sort by:

@traders I think Saunders tied for the most three with Ferrante and Jesmyn Ward. I was going to resolve 50% Saunders and 50% other unless people have objections.

bought Ṁ150 YES

nvm

bought Ṁ150 YES

Oh! It seems like I only get 50% of my shares if 50% resolves. I may have been too greedy then :(