If Biden drops out, his approval rating will...
10
Ṁ1.3kṀ3.5kresolved Sep 2
100%86%
Under .5 percentage point shift either way
1.8%
Biden never drops out
1.1%
.5-1 percentage point shift to approve
1.1%
.5-1 percentage point shift to disapprove
1.7%
1-2 pp shift to approve
1.1%
1-2 pp shift to disapprove
1.8%
2-5 pp shift to approve
1.1%
2-5 pp shift to disapprove
1.1%
5-10 pp shift to approve
1.1%
5-10 pp shift to disapprove
1.1%
Over 10 pp shift to approve
1.1%
Over 10 pp shift to disapprove
Resolves according 538’s polling average among polls conducted in 10 days after Biden officially drops out (if he drops out). “Shift” means change in net approval. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
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