Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $200 by Oct 31?
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $200 by Oct 31?
37
650Ṁ18k
resolved Oct 26
Resolved
N/A

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
1y

[admin] N/A'd due to fraud.

predictedNO 1y

this is fraud. note the author’s “irrational” bets, and they just misresolved this market cc. @SirSalty

@SirSalty @MarcusAbramovitch the author created this with the intention to defraud. Initially the close date was set for Oct 30, 2023, a day before the presumed resolution. Then after several of us corrected their “irrational” bets, they changed the closing date to a year later, without warning or explanation. Note the title doesn’t specify the year, which is common practice when the resolution is in the same, current year.

Is there a way for mods/admins to set the close and resolution back to the originally intended, in just a few days? Thanks.

Edit: please also notice the account @samueltang with similar betting pattern here, likely an alt or in collusion with the author @Dingo

1y

cc @SG

1y

very sus cc @DavidChee

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules