Will Brazil score 3 or more goals against Croatia?
20
390Ṁ5149
resolved Dec 9
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if Brazil scores 3 or more goals on Croatia on Dec 9th. Shoot-out goals DO COUNT.

Close date updated to 2022-12-09 11:39 am

Close date updated to 2022-12-09 12:15 am

Close date updated to 2022-12-09 12:15 pm

Close date updated to 2022-12-09 11:15 pm

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That's 3

All Brazil needs to do is score 2 goals during shoot-out

@DesTiny your description said those don't count

predictedYES

@PatMyron no, they say it does

predictedYES

I put it in caps and everything ._.

@DesTiny the description was edited, reported the market for review

@PatMyron ??????

@DesTiny I mean I hope they can check edits to the description because I had it like that from the start. Didn't expect a shoot-out tbh

@PatMyron I also misread the description and lost money but they seem to have only edited the close time, not the resolution criterion. However if they did the market should be reported.

predictedNO

@NicoDelon I'm actually skeptical now. @DesTiny's other markets have it the other way—penalty shootouts do not count. Why was this one different?

@NicoDelon I do remember it saying "shootouts do count" when I made my most recent trades three hours ago (which is why I ended up selling). I don't remember one way or the other what it said before that.

predictedNO

@StevenK maybe. Why would this one specifically be different is what I'm wondering.

predictedYES

@NicoDelon I just thought the odds of Brazil scoring 3 goals wasn't very likely, so added that as a way to make it closer to 50%. I understand how that seems pretty fishy, but I promise I put that when I created the market

predictedNO

@DesTiny The odds of Brazil scoring 3 goals against Croatia? You've gotta be kidding.

predictedYES
predictedNO

@DesTiny if you care about your reputation on Manifold one thing you could say is: "I agree, this was confusing, I messed up. Sorry about that. Won't happen again." Not that hard.

predictedYES

@NicoDelon I mean, should I not be allowed to have different descriptions for different markets?

predictedNO

@DesTiny allowed, probably, but these markets have similar titles so we're expecting similar descriptions. Again, you should see why this is confusing.

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