Will Brazil score 3 or more goals against Croatia?
20
41
390
resolved Dec 9
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if Brazil scores 3 or more goals on Croatia on Dec 9th. Shoot-out goals DO COUNT.

Close date updated to 2022-12-09 11:39 am

Close date updated to 2022-12-09 12:15 am

Close date updated to 2022-12-09 12:15 pm

Close date updated to 2022-12-09 11:15 pm

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bought Ṁ40 of NO

That's 3

sold Ṁ127 of NO

All Brazil needs to do is score 2 goals during shoot-out

bought Ṁ500 of NO

@DesTiny your description said those don't count

predicted YES

@PatMyron no, they say it does

predicted YES

I put it in caps and everything ._.

sold Ṁ154 of NO

@DesTiny the description was edited, reported the market for review

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@PatMyron ??????

sold Ṁ274 of YES

@DesTiny I mean I hope they can check edits to the description because I had it like that from the start. Didn't expect a shoot-out tbh

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@PatMyron I also misread the description and lost money but they seem to have only edited the close time, not the resolution criterion. However if they did the market should be reported.

predicted NO

@NicoDelon I'm actually skeptical now. @DesTiny's other markets have it the other way—penalty shootouts do not count. Why was this one different?

@NicoDelon I do remember it saying "shootouts do count" when I made my most recent trades three hours ago (which is why I ended up selling). I don't remember one way or the other what it said before that.

predicted NO

@StevenK maybe. Why would this one specifically be different is what I'm wondering.

predicted YES

@NicoDelon I just thought the odds of Brazil scoring 3 goals wasn't very likely, so added that as a way to make it closer to 50%. I understand how that seems pretty fishy, but I promise I put that when I created the market

predicted NO

@DesTiny The odds of Brazil scoring 3 goals against Croatia? You've gotta be kidding.

predicted YES
predicted NO

@DesTiny if you care about your reputation on Manifold one thing you could say is: "I agree, this was confusing, I messed up. Sorry about that. Won't happen again." Not that hard.

predicted YES

@NicoDelon I mean, should I not be allowed to have different descriptions for different markets?

predicted NO

@DesTiny allowed, probably, but these markets have similar titles so we're expecting similar descriptions. Again, you should see why this is confusing.