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I should have thought about some of the subtleties around this. Given today's episode does the conversation around E/acc count as a discussion around AI? In a black and white interpretation I think they might, but with it being an associated subculture and not the technology I could see it not counting as well. How do people feel on this?

@DerekReinhardt the e/acc discussion was quite focused around the approach to AI, so I think it counts

I like this question a lot, so I made a similar one for 2024 — with some more specific resolution criteria and a focus on "main segments" to allow them to, for example, make a one-off mention of AI without the episode necessarily counting.

Another episode with "AI" in the title. 6 episodes left, at 12% it predict 2.1% for a single episode

With 9 episodes left, and assuming independence, this market predicts 2.88% for each episode not to talk about AI

Well, not today

Why make an episode less good by not talking about AI?

There should be a whole genre of markets for predicting Hard Fork episodes. Very entertaining.