Will there be a Tornado reported anywhere in the world on May 14, 2024?
5
22
Ṁ90
May 15
78%
chance

If in the locality the tornado is occurring in it is the 14th, then it counts.

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here is the statistics of tornados in U.S. in May. On average it's 268 tornados in a May. And it's only in the U.S. So imagine how big the probability is if we consider whole world
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/1/5?fatalities=false