Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Nintendo officially announces a brand-new, original entry in the Super Smash Bros. series during the Nintendo Direct broadcast scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026.

For the purposes of this market:

• A remaster, remake, definitive edition, or direct port of Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (or any prior entry) WILL count for a YES resolution.

• Official confirmation can occur within the video broadcast itself or via Nintendo's official press releases and social media channels published in direct conjunction with the showcase.

• If no Super Smash Bros. game is announced, the market will resolve to NO.

Sources of truth:

• Nintendo's Official YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@NintendoAmerica

• Nintendo's Official Website: https://www.nintendo.com

• Major gaming outlets (e.g., IGN, Nintendo Life)

Background

Nintendo has scheduled a general Nintendo Direct for Wednesday, September 9, 2026, at 7 AM PT / 10 AM ET. The presentation is confirmed to run for approximately 45 minutes, focusing on upcoming games for the Nintendo Switch and its successor.

Speculation regarding a new Super Smash Bros. game has intensified following leaks from an insider using the handle "malo932" (who accurately predicted the scheduling of both this Direct and the September 8 Zelda 40th Anniversary Direct days before their official announcements). According to these leaks, Nintendo is developing an entirely new Smash title rather than a port of Super Smash Bros. Ultimate. This market tracks whether Nintendo will officially unveil the next installment of the franchise during the September 9 broadcast.